Monday, September 6, 2010

The Coming Republican Flood

Judging by the latest CNN poll, the GOP is about to deliver a well-deserved bloodbath to the Democrats this November.
Back in April, Americans who dislike both parties appeared to mildly favor the GOP on the generic ballot, by a 43-to-39 percent margin, with a large number saying at the time that they would pick a minor-party candidate or stay at home.

“Now, a lot of those voters appear to be bolting to the GOP,” Holland said. “Republicans now have a whopping 38-point advantage on the generic ballot among voters who dislike both parties.”
Republicans also have a large and growing advantage among independents. Sixty-two percent of independents questioned say they would vote for the generic Republican in their district, with three in 10 saying they’d cast a ballot for the generic Democrat. That 32-point margin for the Republicans among independents is up from an 8-point advantage last month.
Now the open question is, post-November, whether voter anger/interest/enthusiasm can keep the Republicans' feet to the fire long enough and hard enough to make some real improvements. Unfortunately, no poll data is likely to reveal that so we'll just have to wait and see.


Michael Moeller said...

It will be hard to make a difference in legislation. Obama will veto anything that remotely supports liberty. However, I do like the development of a caucus that is very pro-free market (lead by Jim DeMint), and the fact that Tea Party Candidates are defeating establishment Republicans who voted for the bailouts, stimulus, etc. Hopefully, this will set the stage for 2012.

But I have one primary reason for hopeful Republican landslide, i.e. that SCOTUS will take notice and see it as an unresounding repudiation of ObamaCare. SCOTUS is not immune from politics and elections, and I hope they stand up and take notice. An ObamaCare case will probably come before them in the next two years, and for SCOTUS to strike it down would be an incalcuable victory, especially since Obama is likely to be a lame duck for the rest of his time in office...however long that may be.

Jeff Perren said...

Good points. Still, it might be difficult for Obama to get funding for those 157 new bureaucracies created by ObamaCare with the House Republicans holding the purse strings.